For the month of March 2022, the ETF flow breakdown was 60%-40% between equity and fixed income respectively. Investors must navigate in a complex environment. The recession risk needs to be considered. The long lasting geopolitical tension in Europe perpetuate high energy prices - which drove EU inflation to 7.5% in March and will continue to impact growth. To fight against inflation, the Fed is looking to raise rates by 50bps as well as reducing its balance sheet by more than $95bn per month. The US will also supply 1mn barrels a day during the next 6 months to replace Russian oil in an effort to maintain oil prices close to $100. European equities were more impacted than the US stocks. Gold touched a $2070 high in early March before cooling but continued trading above the $1900 level.
Equity Indices: STOXX 600 BANK: -3.22%, Eurostoxx 50: -0.55%, MSCI EUROPE: 0.42%, MSCI WORLD: +2.52%, SPX: +3.58%, NDX: +4.22%,
Bonds: German 10Y yield: +41.3bps, US10Y Yield: +51.3bps
Commodities: Gold: +1.49%, Oil: +6.85%, Wheat: +9.27%
From a regional perspective, Canadian and German equity indices recorded a small gains while US and European equity indices were sold. On the fixed income side, US bonds were in strong demand followed by European bonds.
More specifically,